The most-traded markets on Kalshi and Gemini right now. A price in cents is the market's probability: a 62¢ contract means traders put the odds at about 62%.
Prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which G7 leader will leave office next?7 outcomes | Emmanuel Macron | 77¢77% implied | 713 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?13 outcomes | Gadi Eisenkot | 47¢47% implied | 437 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?3 outcomes | Hakeem Jeffries | 90¢90% implied | 321 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?4 outcomes | Before 2030 | 29¢29% implied | 174 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?14 outcomes | Ding Xuexiang | 23¢23% implied | 88 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?4 outcomes | Before Jan 1, 2030 | 34¢34% implied | 73 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?6 outcomes | Poland | 9¢9% implied | 61 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles? | Before Jan 1, 2030 | 92¢92% implied | 55 contracts | Trade on Kalshi |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner vs Mercyhurst2 outcomes | Mercyhurst | 64¢64% implied | $9K | Trade on Gemini | |
| New York G vs Philadelphia2 outcomes | New York G | 60¢60% implied | $1K | Trade on Gemini | |
| Portland vs Denver: Total Points29 outcomes | More than 203.5 points scored | 94¢94% implied | $988 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Washington vs Orlando: Total Points29 outcomes | More than 198.5 points scored | 94¢94% implied | $716 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Chicago vs Philadelphia: Total Points29 outcomes | More than 211.5 points scored | 95¢95% implied | $683 | Trade on Gemini | |
| 2030 FIFA World Cup Champion82 outcomes | Spain | 16¢16% implied | 631 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Phoenix vs Golden State: Point Spread33 outcomes | Golden State wins by more than 1.5 points | 56¢56% implied | $603 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Atlanta vs Indiana: Total Points29 outcomes | More than 206.5 points scored | 92¢92% implied | $553 | Trade on Gemini |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?2 outcomes | Anthropic | 94¢94% implied | 1K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| When will P vs NP be resolved?6 outcomes | Before 2040 | 49¢49% implied | 1K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?5 outcomes | United States | 56¢56% implied | 474 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? | Mars | 8¢8% implied | 112 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?6 outcomes | Before 2030 | 76¢76% implied | 109 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?4 outcomes | Before 2030 | 74¢74% implied | 81 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Best LLM at the end of the decade?34 outcomes | Essential AI | 24¢24% implied | 37 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? | Before 2035 | 48¢48% implied | 33 contracts | Trade on Kalshi |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 84°F to 85°F | 2¢2% implied | $148 | Trade on Gemini | |
| US meets its climate goals?2 outcomes | By 2030 | 16¢16% implied | 39 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 66°F to 67°F | 51¢51% implied | $35 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 85°F to 86°F | 73¢73% implied | $25 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Las Vegas on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 69°F to 70°F | 73¢73% implied | $25 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 65°F to 66°F | 91¢91% implied | $22 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 2, 2026?6 outcomes | 50°F to 51°F | 49¢49% implied | $19 | Trade on Gemini | |
| Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? | Before 2050 | 64¢64% implied | 15 contracts | Trade on Kalshi |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond33 outcomes | Callum Turner | 57¢57% implied | 54K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch14 outcomes | Pepas | 72¢72% implied | 2K contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme22 outcomes | Oasis | 45¢45% implied | 322 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain7 outcomes | Barry Keoghan | 51¢51% implied | 260 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl16 outcomes | Adria Arjona | 98¢98% implied | 61 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030? | Before 2030 | 19¢19% implied | 51 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| The Last of Us S3: Release date4 outcomes | Before Jan 2028 | 85¢85% implied | 37 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast? | Johnny Depp | 61¢61% implied | 16 contracts | Trade on Kalshi |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump bring back manufacturing? | Before 2029 | 17¢17% implied | 811 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US real GDP growth in 2036?14 outcomes | 1.6% to 2.0% | 20¢20% implied | 700 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US headline CPI inflation in December 203113 outcomes | Above 0.0% | 78¢78% implied | 230 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US headline CPI inflation in December 203413 outcomes | Above 0.0% | 98¢98% implied | 132 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| How high will unemployment get before 2030?10 outcomes | Above 6% | 52¢52% implied | 50 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US headline CPI inflation in December 203313 outcomes | Above 0.5% | 87¢87% implied | 30 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| Who will be the world's second trillionaire?12 outcomes | Jeff Bezos | 22¢22% implied | 26 contracts | Trade on Kalshi | |
| US headline CPI inflation in December 203513 outcomes | Above 0.0% | 90¢90% implied | 17 contracts | Trade on Kalshi |
| Market | Leading outcome | Price | 24h volume | Closes | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL price on November 210 outcomes | $90 or above | 89¢89% implied | $10K | Trade on Gemini | |
| BTC price on November 212 outcomes | $76,250 or above | 87¢87% implied | $6K | Trade on Gemini | |
| ETH price on November 28 outcomes | $2,200 or above | 94¢94% implied | $6K | Trade on Gemini | |
| BTC price today at 2:45pm EST | Up | 30¢30% implied | $5K | Trade on Gemini | |
| BTC price on November 308 outcomes | $67,500 or above | 89¢89% implied | $2K | Trade on Gemini | |
| SOL price on November 308 outcomes | $75 or above | 86¢86% implied | $2K | Trade on Gemini | |
| ZEC price on November 211 outcomes | $1,120 or above | 85¢85% implied | $2K | Trade on Gemini | |
| BTC price today at 3pm EST8 outcomes | $76,500 or above | 92¢92% implied | $2K | Trade on Gemini |
Prices are the last traded price for the leading outcome. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. See our methodology and the fee calculator before trading.
Volume is in each venue's own unit: contracts on Kalshi, dollars on Gemini.