Live odds

Politics Prediction Markets

Elections, legislation, appointments and approval ratings. Prices are the market's probability in cents.

50 markets · prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.

MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
Which G7 leader will leave office next?7 outcomesEmmanuel Macron77¢77% implied713 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?13 outcomesGadi Eisenkot47¢47% implied437 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?3 outcomesHakeem Jeffries90¢90% implied321 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?4 outcomesBefore 203029¢29% implied174 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?14 outcomesDing Xuexiang23¢23% implied88 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203034¢34% implied73 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?6 outcomesPoland9¢9% implied61 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?Before Jan 1, 203092¢92% implied55 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?9 outcomesNarendra Modi45¢45% implied52 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?5 outcomesMichael Faulkender89¢89% implied44 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?10 outcomesGadi Eisenkot14¢14% implied17 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?2 outcomesRepublican party53¢53% implied13 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?Government wins43¢43% implied11 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will the next Pope be?7 outcomesLuis Antonio Tagle9¢9% implied6 contractsTrade on Kalshi
New York City mayoral election winner?12 outcomesZohran Mamdani84¢84% implied6 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?9 outcomesAdam Telle41¢41% implied4 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?Before Jan 22, 204516¢16% implied3 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?8 outcomesLabour party33¢33% implied265K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?Before the next general election8¢8% implied121K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next German federal election winner?7 outcomesAfD82¢82% implied66K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?Before 204522¢22% implied58K contractsTrade on Kalshi
EU loses a member before 2030?By 203012¢12% implied34K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?Before 20354¢4% implied26K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?Yes54¢54% implied25K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?10 outcomesBola Tinubu20¢20% implied25K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?4 outcomesBefore 203072¢72% implied24K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203032¢32% implied19K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next Japanese general election winner?7 outcomesLiberal Democratic Party75¢75% implied15K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next South Korea Presidential election winner?12 outcomesHan Dong-hoon16¢16% implied10K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?3 outcomesBefore 203038¢38% implied10K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?5 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203175¢75% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party)7 outcomesPT30¢30% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?8 outcomesMette Frederiksen27¢27% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
European Parliament election winner?8 outcomesEPP69¢69% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?4 outcomesFrance6¢6% implied6K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?Yes28¢28% implied5K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next DNC Chair?34 outcomesMartin O’Malley17¢17% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
In what year will the next UK general election be held?4 outcomes202946¢46% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?Yes16¢16% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?Before Jan 1, 203027¢27% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?6 outcomesAlice Weidel40¢40% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?Between 2025 and 2035?18¢18% implied3K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Next government of the United Kingdom?19 outcomesReform UK majority13¢13% implied3K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?4 outcomesBefore 203432¢32% implied3K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?29 outcomesNigel Farage27¢27% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?Before Jan 1, 203320¢20% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will China obtain an EUV machine?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203065¢65% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?Before 203022¢22% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? 7 outcomesPauline Hanson66¢66% implied842 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Congressional salaries increase?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203046¢46% implied838 contractsTrade on Kalshi

Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. Work out the fee on a trade with the fee calculator, or browse all categories.