Weather and crypto markets where the market price is furthest from our reference probability, a number computed from the National Weather Service forecast or the Coinbase price. One contract per market, largest gap first. A gap is a difference between two estimates, not a recommendation: the reference can be the one that is wrong.
Prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.
Market prices are the last traded price, else the bid/ask midpoint. The gap is the reference probability minus the price, in points. Contracts closing within 2 hours, contracts whose last trade is outside the current bid and ask, and settlement days whose high has already been observed, are left out. Only contracts with at least 5,000 contracts (Kalshi) or $5,000 (Gemini) traded in 24 hours are listed. How the reference is calculated: weather, crypto. Not financial advice.