Tech Prediction Market Odds Today

26 markets · prices as of Nov 2, 7:38 PM UTC. Refreshes every few minutes.

Market	Leading outcome	Price	24h volume	Closes	Trade
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?2 outcomes	Anthropic	94¢94% implied	1K contracts	Jan 1, 2040	Trade on Kalshi
When will P vs NP be resolved?6 outcomes	Before 2040	49¢49% implied	1K contracts	Jan 7, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?5 outcomes	United States	56¢56% implied	474 contracts	Jan 1, 2031	Trade on Kalshi
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?	Mars	8¢8% implied	112 contracts	Aug 1, 2099	Trade on Kalshi
When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?6 outcomes	Before 2030	76¢76% implied	109 contracts	Jan 7, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?4 outcomes	Before 2030	74¢74% implied	81 contracts	Jan 1, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Best LLM at the end of the decade?34 outcomes	Essential AI	24¢24% implied	37 contracts	Dec 31, 2029	Trade on Kalshi
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?	Before 2035	48¢48% implied	33 contracts	Jan 1, 2035	Trade on Kalshi
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?	Before 2030	14¢14% implied	31 contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?	Before 2030	59¢59% implied	26 contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?	Before 2030	72¢72% implied	24 contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
Next pandemic3 outcomes	Before 2030	22¢22% implied	20 contracts	Dec 31, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?	Before 2030	26¢26% implied	5 contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?3 outcomes	Before 2035	51¢51% implied	50K contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?	Before 2050	25¢25% implied	29K contracts	Jan 1, 2050	Trade on Kalshi
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?	Before 2050	33¢33% implied	17K contracts	Jan 1, 2050	Trade on Kalshi
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?6 outcomes	Before Jan 1, 2031	51¢51% implied	14K contracts	Jan 1, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?5 outcomes	Hodge Conjecture	34¢34% implied	8K contracts	Jan 1, 2045	Trade on Kalshi
When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?6 outcomes	Before 2040	76¢76% implied	6K contracts	Jan 7, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?6 outcomes	Before 2030	74¢74% implied	3K contracts	Jan 7, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?5 outcomes	United States	66¢66% implied	2K contracts	Dec 31, 2029	Trade on Kalshi
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?6 outcomes	Before 2035	87¢87% implied	2K contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?6 outcomes	Before 2032	75¢75% implied	2K contracts	Jan 7, 2027	Trade on Kalshi
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?5 outcomes	Before 2040	38¢38% implied	437 contracts	Jan 7, 2028	Trade on Kalshi
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?31 outcomes	Z AI	99¢99% implied	7 contracts	Jan 1, 2030	Trade on Kalshi
When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?3 outcomes	Before Jan 1, 2033	26¢26% implied	0 contracts	Jan 1, 2029	Trade on Kalshi

Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. Work out the fee on a trade with the fee calculator, or browse all categories.

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