Live odds

Economics Prediction Markets

Fed decisions, inflation, jobs reports and GDP. Prices are the market's probability in cents.

50 markets · prices as of . Refreshes every few minutes.

MarketLeading outcomePrice24h volumeClosesTrade
US real GDP growth in 2036?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%20¢20% implied700 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?12 outcomesJeff Bezos19¢19% implied124 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?Before 202917¢17% implied107 contractsTrade on Kalshi
How high will unemployment get before 2030?10 outcomesAbove 5%50¢50% implied27 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2035?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%15¢15% implied7 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203313 outcomesAbove 0.5%87¢87% implied4 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203413 outcomesAbove 0.0%98¢98% implied2 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2033?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%23¢23% implied157K contractsTrade on Kalshi
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?By 203016¢16% implied134K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2032?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%10¢10% implied79K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2030?14 outcomes2.6% to 3.0%11¢11% implied37K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2034?14 outcomes0.0% or Below16¢16% implied31K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2029?14 outcomes2.1% to 2.5%16¢16% implied27K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2031?14 outcomes1.6% to 2.0%12¢12% implied24K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 202913 outcomesAbove 0.0%85¢85% implied20K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203621 outcomesAbove 2.00%95¢95% implied14K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203017 outcomesAbove 57.00%95¢95% implied12K contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?4 outcomesBefore Jan 1, 203020¢20% implied8K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203117 outcomesAbove 57.00%97¢97% implied7K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 203015 outcomesAbove 3.5%96¢96% implied6K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203121 outcomesAbove 1.00%85¢85% implied5K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203321 outcomesAbove 1.75%84¢84% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203021 outcomesAbove 3.00%92¢92% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 202917 outcomesAbove 56.50%96¢96% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203013 outcomesAbove 3.5%95¢95% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 202921 outcomesAbove 1.00%88¢88% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203113 outcomesAbove 0.0%78¢78% implied4K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203317 outcomesAbove 57.00%96¢96% implied3K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203521 outcomesAbove 1.00%88¢88% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203221 outcomesAbove 1.75%91¢91% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Fed funds rate at end of 203421 outcomesAbove 1.25%88¢88% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203613 outcomesAbove 0.0%98¢98% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?Before 20307¢7% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203513 outcomesAbove 0.0%90¢90% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 202915 outcomesAbove 3.5%96¢96% implied2K contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 203115 outcomesAbove 3.5%96¢96% implied902 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203217 outcomesAbove 56.50%97¢97% implied825 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US nominal GDP growth in 203613 outcomesAbove 0.0%91¢91% implied605 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203417 outcomesAbove 56.00%94¢94% implied494 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203517 outcomesAbove 56.00%94¢94% implied413 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US labor force participation rate at year-end 203617 outcomesAbove 56.00%93¢93% implied387 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US headline CPI inflation in December 203213 outcomesAbove 0.0%79¢79% implied348 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US nominal GDP growth in 203513 outcomesAbove 0.5%94¢94% implied244 contractsTrade on Kalshi
When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000?6 outcomesBefore Dec 31, 202965¢65% implied207 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 203215 outcomesAbove 3.5%96¢96% implied185 contractsTrade on Kalshi
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?2 outcomesBelow 15%80¢80% implied121 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US nominal GDP growth in 202913 outcomesAbove 2.0%93¢93% implied57 contractsTrade on Kalshi
Global account ownership in the next Global Findex release7 outcomesAbove 80%91¢91% implied49 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US nominal GDP growth in 203413 outcomesAbove 0.5%96¢96% implied40 contractsTrade on Kalshi
US unemployment rate at year-end 203615 outcomesAbove 3.0%86¢86% implied13 contractsTrade on Kalshi

Kalshi volume is in contracts; Gemini volume in dollars. Not financial advice. Work out the fee on a trade with the fee calculator, or browse all categories.