Nov 2, 7:31 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 4,656.88 96¢ $4,471 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 5:59 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 2,000 53.5¢ $1,070 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 5:59 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 2,000 53.5¢ $1,070 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 5:53 PM UTC Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October Above 101 No 1,584 99¢ $1,568 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 5:27 PM UTC When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Before Dec 1, 2026 No 2,316.64 98¢ $2,270 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 5:21 PM UTC When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Before Dec 1, 2026 No 1,144 92¢ $1,052 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 4:51 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 4,719.51 95.6¢ $4,512 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 4:51 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 2,000 53.1¢ $1,062 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 4:30 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 9,929.46 51.8¢ $5,143 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 4:30 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 2,000 51.9¢ $1,038 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 4:05 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 1,865 95.6¢ $1,783 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 2:02 PM UTC How many launches will SpaceX have in November? Above 9 No 2,384 60¢ $1,430 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 1:45 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 3,298.29 58.9¢ $1,943 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 1:45 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 1,890.05 94.5¢ $1,786 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 1:45 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 1,886 94.1¢ $1,775 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 1:31 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 2,000 93.1¢ $1,862 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 1:07 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 3,975.86 48.1¢ $1,912 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 1,190.24 98.5¢ $1,172 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 4,255 98.3¢ $4,183 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 2,222 98.3¢ $2,184 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 2,222 98.3¢ $2,184 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 1,845 98.3¢ $1,814 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 3:18 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 3,655 98.3¢ $3,593 Trade on Kalshi Nov 2, 12:48 AM UTC How many launches will SpaceX have in November? Above 10 No 2,444 85¢ $2,077 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 9:32 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Dec 1, 2026 No 1,997.28 98¢ $1,957 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 9:18 PM UTC When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Before 2027 No 1,774.43 97¢ $1,721 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 8:29 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,500 95.4¢ $2,385 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 7:07 PM UTC How many launches will SpaceX have in November? Above 10 No 1,915.88 75¢ $1,437 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 5:36 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Dec 1, 2026 No 10,000 98¢ $9,800 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 4:43 PM UTC Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October Above 89 Yes 1,584 99¢ $1,568 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 4:43 PM UTC Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October Above 89 Yes 1,673 99¢ $1,656 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 2:54 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Muse No 2,000 98.7¢ $1,974 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 2:54 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Muse No 1,350.39 98.7¢ $1,333 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 2:54 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 2,000 98.3¢ $1,966 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 1:34 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 1,970.88 93.6¢ $1,845 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 11:25 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 2,000 61.9¢ $1,238 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 8:55 AM UTC Anthropic market share this week Above 5.4% Yes 2,000 99¢ $1,980 Closed Nov 1, 5:43 AM UTC Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026 Above 63.7% Yes 3,000 99¢ $2,970 Closed Nov 1, 12:42 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 2,000 61.1¢ $1,222 Trade on Kalshi Nov 1, 12:42 AM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 2,000 61¢ $1,220 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 11:47 PM UTC Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 Above 54.5 million Yes 1,400 72¢ $1,008 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 11:47 PM UTC Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 Above 54.5 million Yes 2,000 72¢ $1,440 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 11:30 PM UTC Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026 Above 60.5% Yes 3,000 99¢ $2,970 Closed Oct 31, 10:19 PM UTC Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? xAI No 1,505.17 98¢ $1,475 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 9:38 PM UTC Google market share this week Above 19.1% No 5,000 99¢ $4,950 Closed Oct 31, 9:13 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 4,997.02 95.7¢ $4,782 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 8:59 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 1,145.89 95.6¢ $1,095 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 8:54 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,875.93 95.6¢ $2,749 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 8:54 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 3,373 95.6¢ $3,225 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 8:54 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,000 95.6¢ $1,912 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 7:50 PM UTC Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 Above 55.5 million Yes 5,750 48¢ $2,760 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 6:53 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Gemini Yes 2,000 52.4¢ $1,048 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 5:28 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2028 No 1,354 85¢ $1,151 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:46 PM UTC Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Tencent No 1,620 99¢ $1,604 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:44 PM UTC Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Z.ai No 9,350 98¢ $9,163 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:44 PM UTC Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Z.ai No 1,110.18 98¢ $1,088 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:44 PM UTC Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Meituan No 3,000 99¢ $2,970 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:44 PM UTC Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Meituan No 3,000 99¢ $2,970 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:25 PM UTC Southwest Airlines Credit Card Spend in October Above 106 Yes 1,152 94¢ $1,083 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 12:46 PM UTC Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in October Above 92 Yes 1,420 96¢ $1,363 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 12:09 PM UTC DeepSeek market share this week Above 27.8% Yes 2,000 99¢ $1,980 Closed Oct 31, 10:03 AM UTC OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1 Above 180T tokens Yes 2,300 99¢ $2,277 Closed Oct 31, 4:07 AM UTC When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Before 2028 Yes 2,083.33 72¢ $1,500 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:54 AM UTC OpenAI market share this week Above 20.0% No 1,400 99¢ $1,386 Closed Oct 31, 2:02 AM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,120 95.6¢ $2,027 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:02 AM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,267 95.1¢ $2,156 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:02 AM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 1,086.75 95.6¢ $1,039 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 2:02 AM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 9,221.22 95.1¢ $8,769 Trade on Kalshi Oct 31, 12:28 AM UTC Google market share this week Above 18.4% No 2,500 99¢ $2,475 Closed Oct 31, 12:27 AM UTC OpenAI market share this week Above 20.0% No 1,640 98¢ $1,607 Closed Oct 30, 10:56 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2,650 95.1¢ $2,520 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 10:14 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 8,400 95.1¢ $7,988 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:59 PM UTC Best AI this week Gemini Yes 1,340.76 99¢ $1,327 Closed Oct 30, 9:44 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 1,645 63.5¢ $1,045 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:43 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 2,000 98.3¢ $1,966 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:43 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Muse No 2,000 98.9¢ $1,978 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:12 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude No 1,700 63.5¢ $1,080 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:06 PM UTC Measles cases in 2026? Above 10000 No 1,767 94¢ $1,661 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:06 PM UTC Measles cases in 2026? Above 10000 No 2,133.46 95¢ $2,027 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 9:06 PM UTC Measles cases in 2026? Above 10000 No 1,500 94¢ $1,410 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 8:59 PM UTC Best AI this week Claude No 8,865.31 99¢ $8,777 Closed Oct 30, 8:40 PM UTC Where will Waymo operate in 2026? Denver, CO Yes 1,500 88¢ $1,320 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 8:40 PM UTC Where will Waymo operate in 2026? Denver, CO Yes 4,675 88¢ $4,114 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 8:20 PM UTC When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Before Nov 1, 2026 No 1,584 99¢ $1,568 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 7:47 PM UTC When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Before Dec 1, 2026 No 1,821.2 90¢ $1,639 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 7:13 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 2,000 93.9¢ $1,878 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 7:13 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 2,000 94¢ $1,880 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 6:52 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? ChatGPT No 2,000 93.5¢ $1,870 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 5:01 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 6,555 98.1¢ $6,430 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:33 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 3,000 98.1¢ $2,943 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:33 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Grok No 4,018.72 98.1¢ $3,942 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:31 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Qwen No 2,500 99.5¢ $2,488 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:31 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Qwen No 5,000 99.5¢ $4,975 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:31 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Qwen No 2,500 99.5¢ $2,488 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 4:22 PM UTC Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude Yes 6,495.54 34.1¢ $2,215 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 3:51 PM UTC Google share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) Above 11.3% No 4,000 99¢ $3,960 Closed Oct 30, 3:40 PM UTC Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 1,055 95.1¢ $1,003 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 3:33 PM UTC When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? Before 2027 No 6,617.14 98.5¢ $6,518 Trade on Kalshi Oct 30, 3:32 PM UTC Google share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) Above 12.0% No 3,999 99¢ $3,959 Closed Oct 30, 3:31 PM UTC OpenAI share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel) Above 23.9% No 3,999 99¢ $3,959 Closed