Large trades: Economics

Single trades of $1,000 or more on Kalshi in the last 7 days, newest first. Kalshi publishes the size and time of each trade, not who placed it.

As of . Refreshes every few minutes.

TimeMarketOutcomeSideContractsPriceNotionalTrade
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?7,575 or aboveNo4,283.6666¢$2,827Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?28,180 or aboveNo2,716.0271¢$1,928Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,380 or aboveNo6,00097¢$5,820Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?7,585 or aboveYes38,08014¢$5,331Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?28,230 or aboveYes38,00923¢$8,742Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?28,240 or aboveNo6,00081¢$4,860Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?28,250 or aboveNo6,00085¢$5,100Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?27,960 or aboveNo39,7834¢$1,591Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No2,00095¢$1,900Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?7,600 or aboveNo2,931.3367¢$1,964Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,595 or aboveNo1,887.5380¢$1,510Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,590 or aboveYes1,80995¢$1,719Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,330 or aboveNo38,02945¢$17,113Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,595 or aboveNo38,19346¢$17,569Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,610 or aboveNo13,79098¢$13,514Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,605 or aboveNo2,00081¢$1,620Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,350 or aboveNo38,02844¢$16,732Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,340 or aboveYes1,745.562¢$1,082Closed
Will the S&P finish positive this year?YesYes2,767.2391¢$2,518Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,410 or aboveNo2,066.0780¢$1,653Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?28,220 or aboveYes38,42896¢$36,891Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No1,648.0693¢$1,533Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1650No1,04599¢$1,035Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,610 or aboveNo2,221.2358¢$1,288Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,410 or aboveYes2,067.0752¢$1,075Closed
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1550No2,00058¢$1,160Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,610 or aboveNo19,963.0156¢$11,179Closed
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.1200No2,00069¢$1,380Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1650No2,00098¢$1,960Trade on Kalshi
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?Above $4.60No3,799.9273¢$2,774Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,610 or aboveYes2,00056¢$1,120Closed
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.1600No2,00087¢$1,740Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,615 or aboveNo1,93458¢$1,122Closed
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.3600No1,06099¢$1,049Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.4000No1,06199¢$1,050Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.1400No2,00077¢$1,540Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices this weekAbove 4.1200No2,00065¢$1,300Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 3pm EST?7,620 or aboveNo2,30059¢$1,357Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.10No2,02077¢$1,555Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.10No2,02077¢$1,555Trade on Kalshi
How high will inflation get this year?At least 4.5%No2,320.9980¢$1,857Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?28,580 or aboveNo1,196.6696¢$1,149Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,605 or aboveYes38,09955¢$20,954Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 2pm EST?7,610 or aboveNo1,76661¢$1,077Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?28,410 or aboveNo38,10049¢$18,669Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,600 or aboveNo38,08942¢$15,997Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,610 or aboveNo38,06060¢$22,836Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,585 or aboveYes1,30498¢$1,278Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?7,600 or aboveNo2,00053¢$1,060Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,595 or aboveYes2,00057¢$1,140Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?28,360 or aboveNo38,02541¢$15,590Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,605 or aboveNo1,35084¢$1,134Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?28,360 or aboveYes1,668.3565¢$1,084Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,500 or aboveYes10,00022¢$2,200Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?7,635 or aboveNo3,00087¢$2,610Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,605 or aboveNo12,00050¢$6,000Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,520 or aboveYes10,00022¢$2,200Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,550 or aboveYes10,00016¢$1,600Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,400 or aboveYes14,90657¢$8,496Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?28,470 or aboveYes38,02521¢$7,985Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,595 or aboveYes4,77798¢$4,681Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,620 or aboveYes5,26331¢$1,632Closed
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1700No2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1700No1,06599¢$1,054Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No1,55588¢$1,368Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No1,53484¢$1,289Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No2,00079¢$1,580Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1600No2,00076¢$1,520Trade on Kalshi
Diesel prices tomorrowAbove $6.275Yes2,00097¢$1,940Trade on Kalshi
Diesel prices tomorrowAbove $6.305No1,34392¢$1,236Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?28,500 or aboveYes1,830.559¢$1,080Closed
New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Above 5.0000No1,19899¢$1,186Trade on Kalshi
Diesel prices tomorrowAbove $6.300No2,00076¢$1,520Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 1pm EST?7,620 or aboveNo7,499.9738¢$2,850Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?28,510 or aboveYes1,58079¢$1,248Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?28,500 or aboveYes38,16256¢$21,371Closed
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1750No2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,625 or aboveNo38,15847¢$17,934Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?28,530 or aboveNo38,09054¢$20,569Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,630 or aboveNo38,31866¢$25,290Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?28,500 or aboveNo6,00017¢$1,020Closed
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.10No2,00077¢$1,540Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.10No2,03976¢$1,550Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.00No2,03658¢$1,181Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.00No2,00059¢$1,180Trade on Kalshi
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?Above 4.00No2,03158¢$1,178Trade on Kalshi
US gas prices tomorrowAbove 4.1450Yes1,03299¢$1,022Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,630 or aboveNo2,00066¢$1,320Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,630 or aboveNo1,655.2972¢$1,192Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,400 or aboveNo9,99520¢$1,999Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?28,480 or aboveNo10,00018¢$1,800Closed
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in NovemberHike 1-25bpsYes2,330.6394¢$2,191Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,635 or aboveNo1,50081¢$1,215Closed
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,550 or aboveYes10,50051¢$5,355Trade on Kalshi
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in NovemberHike 1-25bpsYes2,00091¢$1,820Trade on Kalshi
Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?28,650 or aboveNo1,60974¢$1,191Trade on Kalshi
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,645 or aboveNo1,50071¢$1,065Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,640 or aboveNo2,00062¢$1,240Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?7,645 or aboveNo2,00070¢$1,400Closed
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 11am EST?7,635 or aboveNo3,993.0482¢$3,274Closed

Notional is what the taker paid: contracts times the price of the side they took. Side is the side the taker took. A large trade is one trade, not a view on how the market will settle. Links to Kalshi are affiliate links; see our affiliate disclosure. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.