Large trades: Climate

Single trades of $1,000 or more on Kalshi in the last 7 days, newest first. Kalshi publishes the size and time of each trade, not who placed it.

As of . Refreshes every few minutes.

TimeMarketOutcomeSideContractsPriceNotionalTrade
Highest temperature in Austin on Nov 2, 2026?84° to 85°No1,303.7699¢$1,291Trade on Kalshi
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?YesYes4,00045¢$1,800Trade on Kalshi
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?YesNo4,00045¢$1,800Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Nov 2, 2026?ColumbusYes1,212.0199¢$1,200Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Nov 1, 2026?ColumbusNo1,154.2599¢$1,143Closed
Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?42° to 43°Yes2,00099¢$1,980Closed
Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?44° to 45°No1,246.4698¢$1,222Closed
Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?42° to 43°Yes1,401.299¢$1,387Closed
Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 1, 2026?42° to 43°Yes3,225.4299¢$3,193Closed
Where will it rain on Election Day?St. LouisYes1,123.6199¢$1,112Trade on Kalshi
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in OctoberAbove 107No1,05699¢$1,045Trade on Kalshi
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in OctoberAbove 79Yes1,58499¢$1,568Trade on Kalshi
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in OctoberAbove 107No2,00099¢$1,980Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?San FranciscoYes1,661.2498¢$1,628Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?Las VegasYes4,50699¢$4,461Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?HoustonYes2,111.4799¢$2,090Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?St. LouisYes1,629.0782¢$1,336Closed
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 31, 2026?58° or belowYes2,265.6299¢$2,243Closed
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?YesYes3,267.4577.5¢$2,532Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?Oklahoma CityYes1,872.6896¢$1,798Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?MiamiYes1,195.9499¢$1,184Closed
Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?Above 7 inchesNo3,46699¢$3,431Trade on Kalshi
Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?Above 7 inchesNo1,23499¢$1,222Trade on Kalshi
Rain in Las Vegas in Nov 2026?Above 7 inchesNo5,46699¢$5,411Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?Los AngelesNo1,834.1799¢$1,816Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?Los AngelesNo1,067.0299¢$1,056Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?Los AngelesNo2,00099¢$1,980Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?Los AngelesNo1,388.8599¢$1,375Closed
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Nov 15, 2026No1,863.5897¢$1,808Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?MiamiNo1,150.0599¢$1,139Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?Los AngelesNo1,117.6499¢$1,106Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?MiamiNo1,881.7887¢$1,637Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?71° to 72°Yes2,585.6299¢$2,560Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?71° to 72°Yes3,757.5898¢$3,682Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?71° to 72°Yes2,462.396¢$2,364Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?73° to 74°No2,00098¢$1,960Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?69° to 70°No1,85399¢$1,834Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?73° to 74°No1,880.8792¢$1,730Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?College StationYes3,198.2899¢$3,166Closed
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 30, 2026?86° to 87°Yes1,50099¢$1,485Closed
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 30, 2026?88° to 89°No1,50099¢$1,485Closed
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 30, 2026?88° to 89°No1,916.4899¢$1,897Closed
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 30, 2026?73° or belowNo1,05399¢$1,042Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?67° to 68°No1,331.8799¢$1,319Closed
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in OctoberAbove 79Yes1,58498¢$1,552Trade on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 30, 2026?75° or aboveNo1,425.197¢$1,382Closed
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?New York CityNo1,99999¢$1,979Closed
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Oct 29, 2026?65° to 66°Yes1,492.0499¢$1,477Closed
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Oct 29, 2026?49° or belowYes2,486.1499¢$2,461Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?College StationNo1,260.1897¢$1,222Closed
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 29, 2026?67° to 68°No1,50074¢$1,110Closed
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 29, 2026?67° to 68°No3,126.5336¢$1,126Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?TampaNo1,306.1499¢$1,293Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?St. LouisYes1,655.7277¢$1,275Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 29, 2026?74° to 75°No1,357.5699¢$1,344Closed
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 29, 2026?77° to 78°No1,15899¢$1,146Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?DetroitYes6,121.2299¢$6,060Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?DetroitYes2,946.7299¢$2,917Closed
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 29, 2026?66° or belowYes3,491.6185¢$2,968Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?IndianapolisNo1,46497¢$1,420Closed
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?PhoenixYes1,073.6698¢$1,052Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 29, 2026?70° to 71°No1,071.2699¢$1,061Closed
Temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026 at 2pm EDT?84° or aboveYes1,810.4299¢$1,792Closed
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026?85° to 86°No1,39799¢$1,383Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 29, 2026?76° or aboveNo2,00098¢$1,960Closed
Temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026 at 12pm EDT?83° or aboveYes2,13099¢$2,109Closed
Temperature in Miami on Oct 29, 2026 at 8am EDT?75° or aboveYes1,29499¢$1,281Closed
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?TampaYes1,31996¢$1,266Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?San AntonioNo1,565.6299¢$1,550Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?San AntonioNo1,771.298¢$1,736Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?College StationNo1,11899¢$1,107Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?MiamiYes4,877.9599¢$4,829Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?MiamiYes1,612.8389¢$1,435Closed
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 28, 2026?70° to 71°No7,303.9299¢$7,231Closed
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 6, 2026Yes1,322.5499¢$1,309Trade on Kalshi
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 6, 2026Yes1,333.3397¢$1,293Trade on Kalshi
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026Yes2,500.0199¢$2,475Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?AustinNo2,00098¢$1,960Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?AustinNo3,269.2596¢$3,138Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?College StationNo1,111.7197¢$1,078Closed
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026Yes1,87197¢$1,815Trade on Kalshi
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026Yes2,00097¢$1,940Trade on Kalshi
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026Yes2,500.0197¢$2,425Trade on Kalshi
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 31 - Nov 1)?BostonNo1,135.2893¢$1,056Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?College StationNo1,367.1587¢$1,189Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?College StationNo4,00084¢$3,360Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 28, 2026?HoustonNo1,533.7191¢$1,396Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?San AntonioNo1,284.0199¢$1,271Closed
Temperature in Miami on Oct 27, 2026 at 11pm EDT?76° or aboveNo1,24995¢$1,187Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?San AntonioNo1,23998¢$1,214Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?San AntonioNo1,40098¢$1,372Closed
Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?San AntonioNo1,619.3598¢$1,587Closed
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 6, 2026Yes2,911.5899¢$2,882Trade on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 27, 2026?70° to 71°No1,06398¢$1,042Closed
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 27, 2026?76° to 77°No1,04599¢$1,035Closed
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 27, 2026?84° to 85°No1,967.5197¢$1,908Closed
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 27, 2026?82° to 83°Yes1,079.7299¢$1,069Closed
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 27, 2026?72° to 73°Yes1,778.6799¢$1,761Closed
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 27, 2026?76° to 77°No1,09398¢$1,071Closed
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 27, 2026?76° to 77°No2,50099¢$2,475Closed

Notional is what the taker paid: contracts times the price of the side they took. Side is the side the taker took. A large trade is one trade, not a view on how the market will settle. Links to Kalshi are affiliate links; see our affiliate disclosure. Not financial advice. Trading involves risk.