Nov 4, 7:49 PM UTC Michigan Senate margin of victory El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts Yes 5,000 99.5¢ $4,975 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:49 PM UTC Michigan Senate margin of victory El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts Yes 12,480.02 99.5¢ $12,418 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:49 PM UTC Michigan Senate margin of victory El-Sayed, 4+ pts Yes 20,000 99¢ $19,800 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:49 PM UTC Michigan Senate margin of victory El-Sayed, 4+ pts Yes 5,000 99¢ $4,950 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:48 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Democratic party Yes 1,871 91.2¢ $1,706 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:48 PM UTC Texas State Senate winner? Democratic party No 1,120 99¢ $1,109 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:47 PM UTC 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Jon Ossoff Yes 3,746.02 27¢ $1,011 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:47 PM UTC LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round) At least 54% Yes 1,340 95¢ $1,273 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:47 PM UTC Colorado's 5th District margin of victory Crank, 13+ pts No 3,350 99¢ $3,317 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:47 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,061.69 98.2¢ $1,043 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:46 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 2,148.51 99.1¢ $2,129 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:46 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,518.76 98.2¢ $1,491 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:45 PM UTC Louisiana Senate margin of victory Letlow, 5+ pts No 1,584 99¢ $1,568 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:45 PM UTC Louisiana Senate margin of victory Letlow, 5+ pts No 1,153 99¢ $1,141 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:44 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 12,000 98.2¢ $11,784 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:44 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 1,360.1 92.9¢ $1,264 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:43 PM UTC Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? Sand by 6-9 Yes 1,440 90¢ $1,296 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:43 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 6,775 98.2¢ $6,653 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:43 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,898.74 98.2¢ $1,865 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? 45 No 2,111.15 99.9¢ $2,109 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Above 249 Yes 1,625 98.8¢ $1,606 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC Iowa Senate election: Josh Turek vote percent At least 52% No 1,584 98¢ $1,552 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC Florida Governor margin of victory Donalds, 3.5+ pts No 3,062.01 99.6¢ $3,050 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC 2028 Republican presidential nominee Thomas Massie No 8,271.13 97.1¢ $8,031 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:42 PM UTC 2028 Republican presidential nominee Thomas Massie No 23,715.53 97¢ $23,004 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:41 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 2,690.39 99.1¢ $2,666 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:41 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 46,391.81 99.1¢ $45,974 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:40 PM UTC 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Democrats, 10 to 12% No 4,949.23 98.5¢ $4,875 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:40 PM UTC Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Yes No 1,024.5 98.9¢ $1,013 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:40 PM UTC Will the House impeach Trump? Before Jan 1, 2027 No 5,000 99¢ $4,950 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:40 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Above 52 Yes 4,932.17 99.4¢ $4,903 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:39 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Democratic party No 16,818.16 8.9¢ $1,497 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:39 PM UTC Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? Scott Timko Yes 3,600 95¢ $3,420 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:39 PM UTC Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election? Scott Timko Yes 2,016 95¢ $1,915 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:39 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Republican party No 2,481.22 91.1¢ $2,260 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:38 PM UTC 2028 Democratic presidential nominee J.B. Pritzker No 1,117.03 97.8¢ $1,092 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:38 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,590.82 98.2¢ $1,562 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:37 PM UTC Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Yes No 2,359.16 98¢ $2,312 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:37 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Scott Colom Yes 1,324.8 92.9¢ $1,231 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:37 PM UTC NY-17 House winner? Mike Lawler No 1,526.8 99.8¢ $1,524 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:36 PM UTC 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Bernie Sanders No 51,299 99.6¢ $51,094 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:35 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 5,619 98.2¢ $5,518 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:34 PM UTC How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? 242-245 No 1,268.67 99.8¢ $1,266 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:34 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? 51 No 1,870.62 99.9¢ $1,869 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:33 PM UTC Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami? Yes Yes 7,603.6 99¢ $7,528 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:33 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy No 2,000 73¢ $1,460 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:33 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy No 2,003.03 74¢ $1,482 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:33 PM UTC Alaska Governor winner? (Party) Republican party No 1,927 99.6¢ $1,919 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:33 PM UTC Alaska Governor winner? (Party) Republican party No 4,515.75 99.9¢ $4,511 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC Ohio State Auditor winner? Frank LaRose Yes 2,016 97¢ $1,956 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC Ohio State Auditor winner? Frank LaRose Yes 1,337 97¢ $1,297 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC New York's 17th District margin of victory Lawler, 3+ pts No 1,785 99.6¢ $1,778 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC New York's 17th District margin of victory Lawler, 3+ pts No 1,584 99.6¢ $1,578 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC New York's 17th District margin of victory Lawler, 9+ pts No 2,500 99.8¢ $2,495 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:32 PM UTC Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami? Yes Yes 4,100 99¢ $4,059 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:31 PM UTC MT-01 House winner? Aaron Flint No 1,526.8 99.9¢ $1,525 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:30 PM UTC CO-03 House winner? Jeff Hurd Yes 1,764.52 88¢ $1,553 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:30 PM UTC CO-03 House winner? Dwayne Romero No 1,910.01 90¢ $1,719 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:30 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy No 3,000 73¢ $2,190 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:28 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Scott Colom Yes 2,404.2 92.4¢ $2,221 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:28 PM UTC 2028 Democratic presidential nominee Abdul El-Sayed No 2,000 97.4¢ $1,948 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:27 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 3,333 92.9¢ $3,096 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:27 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 2,218.74 93.1¢ $2,066 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:27 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 1,255 93¢ $1,167 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:27 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) 55 No 1,596 84¢ $1,341 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Above 57 No 1,038.21 99.9¢ $1,037 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC Nevada State Controller winner? Andy Matthews No 3,300 98¢ $3,234 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy Yes 3,544.83 29¢ $1,028 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC Nevada State Controller winner? Michael MacDougall Yes 2,950 97¢ $2,862 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC Nevada State Controller winner? Michael MacDougall Yes 2,000 97¢ $1,940 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:25 PM UTC Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory Omar, 68+ pts No 1,176 96.9¢ $1,140 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:24 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy Yes 4,680.36 28¢ $1,311 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:24 PM UTC How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Above 249 Yes 1,650.68 98.9¢ $1,633 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory Omar, 50+ pts Yes 1,272.45 99¢ $1,260 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory Omar, 50+ pts Yes 1,137.55 99¢ $1,126 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory Omar, 53+ pts Yes 3,082 98.1¢ $3,023 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory Omar, 53+ pts Yes 3,411 98.1¢ $3,346 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,500 98.4¢ $1,476 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 1,722 98.4¢ $1,694 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 1,455.52 92.5¢ $1,346 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 4,076.3 92.5¢ $3,771 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:23 PM UTC How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? 242-245 No 3,470.68 99.7¢ $3,460 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Republican party No 4,000 92¢ $3,680 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Democratic party No 20,000 7¢ $1,400 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Republican party Yes 11,101.51 9.8¢ $1,088 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Republican party Yes 16,479.79 10¢ $1,648 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith No 6,379.34 92.5¢ $5,901 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 4,500 99.1¢ $4,460 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 13,500 99.1¢ $13,379 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 24,001.02 99.1¢ $23,785 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 2,000 98.2¢ $1,964 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Los Angeles Mayor winner? Karen Bass No 2,689 98.1¢ $2,638 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 1,201.71 99.1¢ $1,191 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:22 PM UTC Blue wave in 2026? Yes Yes 1,500 99.1¢ $1,487 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:21 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Greg Murphy No 1,893.17 73¢ $1,382 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:21 PM UTC NC-03 House winner? Raymond Smith Jr. Yes 2,000 74¢ $1,480 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:21 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Scott Colom Yes 2,283 92.5¢ $2,112 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:21 PM UTC Mississippi Senate winner? Scott Colom Yes 1,542.45 92.5¢ $1,427 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:21 PM UTC Alaska Senate winner? Republican party Yes 11,941.85 9.8¢ $1,170 Trade on Kalshi Nov 4, 7:19 PM UTC How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) 53 No 1,900 99.8¢ $1,896 Trade on Kalshi